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Tactics - Testing Stats: which one is safer ?

View Poll Results: Chose 3 only. Which is more likely to be succesful ?
1a) 2x GFI (with RR) / 3+ Pass (pass skill) 13 54.17%
1b) 4+ Pass (pass skill) 13 54.17%
2a) 2x GFI (no RR) 10 41.67%
2b) Oppo makes a GFI & a 2 die block (only POW works) 14 58.33%
3a) Long Bomb 5+ (pass skill) 15 62.50%
3b) Pass 3+ (pass) / Catch 2+ / (hand off)Catch 2+ / GFI (no RRs) 7 29.17%
Multiple Choice Poll. Voters: 24. You may not vote on this poll

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  #11  
Old 29th January 2012, 06:51 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lebe666 View Post
Darn... your right Purgatory ! Oppsss... Changed the way it was formulated and included the new % chance in invisible answers.


PS: Captain the answers are in "white" color at the end of the original post
I got two and three right... nice and sneaky way of giving the answers.
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  #12  
Old 29th January 2012, 07:50 PM
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Hmm, 1 out of three, but I do struggle on the block dice. The other I got wrong for forgetting the re-roll.

Still interesting stuff.
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  #13  
Old 29th January 2012, 07:54 PM
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Originally Posted by SorroW View Post
I got them all wrong..... Now I finally know why I suck at this game... :-)

/SorroW
You got them all wrong ?! Must be that the questions don't fit elven style coaches
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  #14  
Old 29th January 2012, 07:54 PM
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Originally Posted by Captain Thorrek View Post
I got two and three right... nice and sneaky way of giving the answers.
Thanks !
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  #15  
Old 29th January 2012, 09:01 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lebe666 View Post
Darn... your right Purgatory ! Oppsss... Changed the way it was formulated and included the new % chance in invisible answers.


PS: Captain the answers are in "white" color at the end of the original post
Awesome, it's nice to see that the end result is still the same
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  #16  
Old 30th January 2012, 09:48 AM
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Hooray, got them all right!

Should've flushed my combinatorics course if I didn't, tho
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  #17  
Old 31st January 2012, 02:47 PM
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Playing High Elves I'm OK with the passing ones, but I did guess the middle one!
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  #18  
Old 31st January 2012, 05:36 PM
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Well got 1 wrong, but that was no 3, and it is hard to eyeball as they were both so close. It is slightly better than 50% to make 3 2+ rolls with no RR, but then you get another 90% factor. vs 56% for the pass. So I got to "not much in it" and guessed .

Of course what you do in situation 1 is to the GFI one at a time and attempt the 4+ pass if you fail the first GFI but make it on a RR, as a GFI (no RR) then a 3+ pass (wiht pass skill) is slightly worse (0.74) than a 4+ pass (wiht pass) (0.75)

Double skulls made a nice table of GFI followed by pass

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