So... After a few months of playing, I'm having some problems with the game and wanted to share so that you cheer me up and put me back on the right path. Is the outcome of Blood Bowl matches determined 95% by luck? (when you are not an absolut newbie). I have the feeling that it is. Most of my games during the last couple of weeks have been REALLY BORING. Either I won clearly, with nothing that the other player could do about it or it was the other way around. And it was not because of my/his decisions but because Nuffle decided that one had to win and the other was going to be there just looking. Don't get me wrong: I know that there are players around there that are much better that I am. In one or two games, the other player came up with a play that I just didn't see coming and beat me. I enjoyed those games more than the ones that I won with no opposition because I was ACTUALLY PLAYING (and losing xD) not just looking at players being there and ignoring all sense of probability during hundreds of plays. I can't avoid to think that, in most cases, you don't need to understand quantum physics to see the "optimal" sequence of actions during your turn. So, in the end, it's just luck. I always bring everything to Magic and similar card games, as it's what I know best. In Magic you have to: - Choose the 'archetype' of deck that you are going to play. - Choose the cards that you are going to use in your deck. - To do those two things you have to guess what the other players are going to bring (and what would work better against them). - You have to draw the cards in the right order (Nuffle!). - You have to do the right plays every turn. So, after a tournament, you probably lost a couple of games because of bad draws. It happens and you hate it... but that's it. The rest of the games were probably decided because you made the right deck choice but wrong plays or the other way around. Or maybe you did everything perfect and also had good draws and won the tournament xD. You are more in control of the situation, you are responsible of winning or losing (most of the time). Edit: Adding the same steps in BB. - Choose the 'archetype'/race: do you like bash? passing game? - Choose the players/skills. I might be silly but I don't think you have much of a choice in this regard trying to find the 'optimal' configuration. There is some room... but not as much. - Guessing what the others are playing: I suppose it makes sense in resurrection tournaments. Not much in leagues and nothing in MM. - Be lucky with the dice! (Nuffle!) - Do the right plays every turn. So, as the importance of the first 3 steps is reduced DRASTICALLY and the last step is exactly the same... the other factor, luck, gains A LOT of weight in the final outcome. For a few months I knew I was learning from every Blood Bowl game. I was getting better (9 games undefeated in the BC2 at the moment! Tomorrow I'm losing 100% sure xD). But now I feel stuck. Not learning, not improving and getting frustrated with good/bad luck streaks. Am I going crazy? Is is just me? How do you overcome this? Recommendations? Should I just break my laptop against the wall and go out to meet the future mother of my future children? Edit: I have never played in a resurection tournament, so talking mostly about leagues and MM (horrible MM system, btw. H.O.R.R.I.B.L.E.). Is the feeling a bit better in those tournaments?